Editorial
In-depth market analysis, geopolitical insights
CASABROVA Global Investor Briefing — October 2026
The board barely moved: twenty-one of twenty-nine markets are unchanged, and the three that crossed two points did so because our own readings changed, not because anything happened in those markets. The top is now a three-way tie — Estonia 74.6, Poland 74.3, Slovenia 74.3 — with three tenths of a point between first and third.
Open the briefing →Cyprus’s Housing Pipeline Is Expanding. Will Supply Catch Up?
New residents, foreign purchases and a growing construction pipeline: why further price rises would not be surprising — and what could change the picture.
Portugal After the Golden Visa Property Route: Is Demand Changing?
Portugal's prices rose as sales fell. We examine resident foreign buyers, investment flows and what the end of the Golden Visa property route really tells us.
Focus for the Israeli investor: six months below last year, and what to know before buying a home outside Israel
The Home Price Index has remained below its year-earlier level for six consecutive months, the number of transactions fell by 12.2 percent in 2025, and the Bank of Israel is easing monetary policy while the European Central Bank raised rates again on 10 September. Anyone considering a purchase abroad should know one thing before anything else: how they intend to finance it.
CASABROVA Global Investor Briefing — September 2026
The Score did not move: no market changed by even half a point, and Estonia edged past Poland into #1 by 0.20 — inside the noise. What moved was the cost of money, and in opposite directions: New Zealand and Korea raised, Israel cut, Canada held, and 12-month Euribor crossed 3%. House prices rose in 25 of the 27 markets we can price for 2025, led by Hungary at +18.3%; only Canada and New Zealand fell.
Auto-generated, editor-reviewed
Germany's Housing Correction Created a Search Opportunity — Not a Buy Signal
From 2022 to 2024, Germany's official index for existing homes fell 11.2%, while the new-home index fell 2.0%. Construction prices kept rising and completions dropped to their lowest level since 2012. That combination may have created opportunities in selected existing properties. It did not make Germany, or even German resale housing, automatically cheap.
Q2 2026 Investor Briefing
Our quarterly cross-market briefing: twenty-nine markets, the cost of borrowing as a foreign buyer, cycle position, tax by nationality, and the CASABROVA Score.
Romania Gets the Signal. Poland Stays on Watch.
Why CASABROVA is entering one Eastern European market through its model framework, while waiting for a cleaner entry signal in the other.
After Spain: Where Europe’s Foreign Property Money Goes Next
Spain is now late-cycle and crowded for foreign buyers — so where does Europe's property money rotate next? CASABROVA separates revealed preference, structural quality (the Score) and timing (the Master Index), and maps the case for Romania, Poland and the UAE.
CASABROVA Global Investor Briefing — June 2026
June’s briefing is a one-time Score reset: Netherlands, Ireland and Poland cluster at the top; Spain, Portugal and Czechia remain in withdrawal; Greece is at peak; Germany and the UK move toward recovery; Romania enters the Virtual Portfolio.
Auto-generated, editor-reviewed
CASABROVA AI DeskGlobal Investor Briefing — May 2026
Scores were stable this month — the real stories are a generational currency window for shekel buyers, Greece emerging as a withdrawal candidate while Spain surprisingly holds at peak, and three markets moving from correction into recovery.
Auto-generated, editor-reviewed
Q1 2026 Investor Briefing
Our quarterly cross-market briefing: macro outlook, FDI flows, STR yields, demographic deficits and the CASABROVA Score across all active markets. Available as a 33-page full edition and a 13-page executive summary.
Regulation on Steroids: Why Greece is Pushing Investors Away (And Why Cyprus is the Answer)
Greece has entered a phase of "regulation on steroids," systematically dismantling the very incentives that saved its real estate market a decade ago. Smart money is crossing the Mediterranean to Cyprus.
The Dubai Anomaly: How the "Expat Replacement" Model Defies Global Real Estate Gravity
Most analysts make one critical error: they measure Dubai using European yardsticks. CASABROVA's Master Index reveals a profound anomaly — the Expat Replacement Model.
The Israel Real Estate Paradox: Why Diaspora Capital is Re-pricing the Market in 2026
A superficial reading of Israel's metrics presents a challenging picture. But sophisticated capital prices in structural shifts — tax arbitrage, infrastructure resilience, and a fleeting "20/80" liquidity trap.
The Yield Illusion: Why Municipal STR Regulations are Destroying Cross-Border Valuations
A massive "Yield Illusion" has formed. Investors are pricing properties based on historical cash flows, fatally ignoring that hyper-local municipal regulations have decoupled historical performance from future returns.
House of Glass Cards: Why Dubai Real Estate Faces Unprecedented Risk
The UAE sits at sub-30% homeownership — the lowest in our entire dataset. That single number explains everything happening in Dubai right now.
The Silent Wealth Migration: Capital Flight from the UK to Cyprus and the UAE
The UK Non-Dom regime is dead. CASABROVA tracks where UHNWI capital is flowing — and the luxury property squeeze it will trigger in Cyprus and Dubai.
Iberian Crossroads: Portugal vs. Spain for Real Estate Investors in 2026
Spain has tightened STR rules and abolished its Golden Visa entirely. Portugal pivoted — lifting license freezes but doubling entry tax. A surgical comparison of the four vectors that matter.