Where CASABROVA is invested today
A virtual portfolio derived from a disciplined, rules-based methodology. The methodology is applied to historical market data, with open positions marked from current public HPI.
Open positions
7
Closed trades
23
Results profile
Strong
Update cadence
Weekly
Biggest paper gain
+51.1%
GR 2018
Open positions (7)
The methodology marks these as held. Prices refresh weekly from current public HPI.
- Withdrawal
GR
Entry 2018 · 8y held
CASABROVA BUY signal fired in 2018. All 4 conditions confirmed expansion. Position held - SELL signal not yet triggered.
LeveragedPaper return
+51.1%
- Expansion
US
Entry 2021 · 5y held
CASABROVA BUY signal fired in 2021. All 4 conditions confirmed expansion. Position held - SELL signal not yet triggered.
CashPaper return
+34.8%
- Peak
MX
Entry 2018 · 8y held
CASABROVA BUY signal fired in 2018. All 4 conditions confirmed expansion. Position held - SELL signal not yet triggered.
CashPaper return
+26.7%
- Peak
UAE
Entry 2021 · 5y held
CASABROVA BUY signal fired in 2021. All 4 conditions confirmed expansion. Position held - SELL signal not yet triggered.
LeveragedPaper return
+23.9%
- Recovery
UK
Entry 2021 · 5y held
CASABROVA BUY signal fired in 2021. All 4 conditions confirmed expansion. Position held - SELL signal not yet triggered.
CashPaper return
+13.1%
- Expansion
IT
Entry 2022 · 4y held
CASABROVA BUY signal fired in 2022. All 4 conditions confirmed expansion. Position held - SELL signal not yet triggered.
CashPaper return
+8.7%
- Expansion
RO
Entry 2025 · 1y held
Romania clean expansion entry: transaction volume (130->180) and RE-FDI (210->291) both rising through latest data, HPI steady climb; mid-cycle 4-condition BUY.
CashPaper return
0.0%
Closed trades (23)
Closed positions are shown as historical examples of the methodology in action. Rows are display-only and do not expose internal rule mechanics.
| Market | Entry | Exit | Years | Entry phase | Return | Leverage | Exit reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HU | 2017 | 2025 | 8 | Expansion | +188.2% | Leveraged | Disciplined exit after hold period |
| PT | 2017 | 2025 | 8 | Withdrawal | +125.6% | Leveraged | Disciplined exit after hold period |
| CZ | 2016 | 2024 | 8 | Recovery | +107.4% | Leveraged | Cycle-discipline exit |
| PL | 2016 | 2024 | 8 | Peak | +102.8% | Cash | Cycle-discipline exit |
| HR | 2016 | 2024 | 8 | Peak | +96.7% | Leveraged | Cycle-discipline exit |
| CA | 2014 | 2022 | 8 | Correction | +95.2% | Cash | Cycle-discipline exit |
| SI | 2016 | 2024 | 8 | Peak | +94.1% | Leveraged | Cycle-discipline exit |
| EE | 2011 | 2020 | 9 | Stable | +91.6% | Leveraged | Risk-control exit |
| IE | 2013 | 2021 | 8 | Expansion | +89.6% | Leveraged | Cycle-discipline exit |
| NL | 2017 | 2025 | 8 | Expansion | +89.0% | Leveraged | Disciplined exit after hold period |
| NZ | 2012 | 2020 | 8 | Recovery | +86.6% | Cash | Risk-control exit |
| AU | 2014 | 2024 | 10 | Recovery | +70.0% | Cash | Cycle-discipline exit |
| ES | 2017 | 2025 | 8 | Withdrawal | +62.6% | Leveraged | Risk-control exit |
| DE | 2011 | 2020 | 9 | Recovery | +59.8% | Leveraged | Risk-control exit |
| US | 2012 | 2020 | 8 | Expansion | +57.5% | Cash | Risk-control exit |
| RO | 2016 | 2024 | 8 | Expansion | +47.1% | Cash | Cycle-discipline exit |
| CY | 2017 | 2025 | 8 | Peak | +44.4% | Leveraged | Disciplined exit after hold period |
| DK | 2015 | 2023 | 8 | Expansion | +37.3% | Cash | Disciplined exit after hold period |
| UK | 2010 | 2018 | 8 | Recovery | +34.0% | Leveraged | Cycle-discipline exit |
| KR | 2015 | 2024 | 9 | Recovery | +26.0% | Cash | Cycle-discipline exit |
| IL | 2013 | 2022 | 9 | Correction | +25.8% | Cash | Cycle-discipline exit |
| JP | 2016 | 2024 | 8 | Peak | +19.4% | Leveraged | Disciplined exit after hold period |
| UAE | 2012 | 2020 | 8 | Peak | +9.9% | Cash | Cycle-discipline exit |
Methodology
Entry — disciplined methodology
Entry is based on a layered read of demand, capital, supply, and price signals. Internal rule mechanics are not displayed on the public site.
Exit — risk discipline
Exit decisions are based on cycle controls and holding discipline designed to let a thesis mature before exit. Threshold details stay internal.
What this is not
- Not a comparison to stocks. We do not claim real estate beats equities. We test whether discipline beats herd-following, within real estate only.
- Country-level data (national HPI), not city or neighborhood.
- Local currency. FX risk not modeled. A foreign investor reporting in a different currency would see different returns.
- Single trade per market. Multi-trade-per-market is a future experiment.
- Rules were locked May 2026 after observing the data — this run is therefore in-sample. Out-of-sample validity will accumulate over time.